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Evidence map

Every citation behind the score, with its stance, evidence mass mᵢ, recency-decayed mass, and share of the total. The score is reproducible from exactly these rows.

6 citationsDecayed mass Mₚ = 31.4Center Xₚ = +0.82Calibration W₀ = 12, T = 40y
SupportsSystematic review· 2021mᵢ 10.08.8 · 28%

Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis (IPCC AR6 WG1)

Masson-Delmotte et al. · Cambridge University Press · 5y old

"It is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land." Direct attribution statement with full uncertainty quantification.

SynthesisMulti-modelOpen accessCited-by map →doi:10.1017/9781009157896
SupportsMeta-analysis· 2013mᵢ 9.06.5 · 21%

Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature

Cook et al. · Environmental Research Letters · 13y old

Found 97.1% endorsement of anthropogenic warming among abstracts taking a position. Heavily replicated; Powell 2015 and others reach similar figures.

N=11,944Abstract reviewReplicatedCited-by map →doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024
SupportsPrimary study· 2013mᵢ 8.05.8 · 18%

Detection and attribution of climate change: from global to regional

Bindoff et al. · IPCC AR5 Ch. 10 · 13y old

Formal fingerprint detection-and-attribution across independent models and observational datasets.

SupportsPrimary study· 2020mᵢ 7.06.0 · 19%

Evaluating the performance of past climate model projections

Hausfather et al. · Geophysical Research Letters · 6y old

Climate models published since 1970 accurately projected subsequent warming once actual forcings are accounted for.

MixedPrimary study· 2019mᵢ 3.52.9 · 9%

A new look at the relationship between solar activity and atmospheric circulation

Scafetta · J. Atmos. Solar-Terr. Phys. · 7y old

Argues solar variability contributes more than IPCC estimates suggest, but does not refute anthropogenic dominance. Counted as partial dissent on magnitude, not attribution.

RefutesOpinion· 2011mᵢ 2.01.4 · 4%

On the observational determination of climate sensitivity and its implications

Lindzen & Choi · Asia-Pacific J. Atmos. Sci. · 15y old

Argues for low climate sensitivity. Subsequent papers (Trenberth et al. 2010, Dessler 2011) found methodological errors; included for completeness with reduced weight.